DJHJD

DJHJD

Monday, August 13, 2007

Paris Hilton is hurting you

She's not just another vapid lily of the field, according to a new book she's causing you psychological and monetary injury.

Here, cross posted from Digby's Hullabaloo is a discussing/review of the book's subject matter and premise:

We hear a lot about income inequality these days and if you're like me, you probably wonder, other than the fundamental unfairness of it all, why this matters. After all, life isn't fair, get back to work and stop lallygagging.

As it turns out it matters a great deal, and that sense of dissatisfaction and anxiety so many of us feel is a direct result of the conspicuous consumption of the fabulously wealthy overclass trickling down through society and making it necessary for people to constantly buy more, even as they are earning the same. According to Frank, it's not just keeping up with the Joneses or class envy or any of the other things that people usually attribute to those who live beyond their means. It's a natural, human response to the context in which they live. Frank makes a compelling case that measuring yourself against your neighbors, co-workers or whatever, isn't just a matter of "keeping score." It's the way we make sense of the world. And that measure is affected every day by what the super-rich are buying.

In a delightfully droll passage, Frank describes going shopping to replace the battered $89.00 bar-b-q he'd used quite happily for years, until all his repairs finally failed and it fell apart. He sees this amazing Viking grill extravaganza with burners for stir frying and rotisseries that practically cook the food itself and deliver it to your table. It costs $5,000. But, boy is it awesome. He reluctantly turns away and contemplates a different model with some of the same features, but now that he's seen the top of the line, it just isn't as impressive. But being a responsible consumer he realizes that he can't be that extravagant and he considers buying this more basic model -- for $1,160. It's so improved from the banged up old $89.00 model on which he'd happily grilled for years they might as well not even be called a bar-b-q, but in spite of that, he feels a vague sense of disappointment at what it doesn't have compared to the fancy Lamborghini level grill. Buying it would feel positively frugal, even though it's ridiculously expensive on its own terms. I'm sure you've all been there. You have no idea what's out there, but once you see something with all the bells and whistles you subconsciously compare everything else you see to it. And something that you would have found to be an amazing improvement over what you once had, suddenly becomes a compromise.

For the record, Frank settles on a $250.00 Weber and felt extremely frugal buying it --- though it cost three times what his other grill had cost. But you can also tell by the loving detail with which he describes those more expensive models, that they made a lasting impression. He went back a year later to look at them again and the top of the line model was now $13,000.00 --- and that $1100.00 model now looks like a worthless piece of junk by comparison.

This is the mechanism by which the extremely wealthy change the context of our everyday lives in ways we aren't even aware. And in a society that ties such fundamental community functions such as schools and public safety to property values and perceptions of power, it is almost a matter of necessity that the middle class keep reaching for the bigger house and the bigger car in order to maintain a stake in their community. It is perfectly understandable that people want to have their kids educated in good schools and live in safe neighborhoods.

Neither is it counter-intuitive that if you need to be taken seriously by people who have money, you have to appear that you have money too. I remember being confused when I first started working in a business where there were always a lot of recent college grads in entry level grunt positions driving very fancy cars and dressing in designer clothes. It took me a while to realize that they were all children of wealth. As a result of their ability to give the properly successful appearance, those of us who didn't have money spent far more on such things than we had any right to, merely to even be in the running. I suspect this gets worse every year as the rich continue to shed the last vestiges of social restraint on flaunting their wealth.

The problem is that middle class American incomes are not even close keeping up with what they need to spend in this kind of cycle and haven't been for more than two decades, while income gains for these super-rich have been stratospheric. That's what's making everyone feel the squeeze: the middle class are working themselves into an early grave and taking on more debt than they can manage not because they are foolishly trying to keep up with Paris Hilton but because they have to in order to hang onto the place in society they already have.

Frank discusses at length the costs of this striving and I think we all can imagine what they are in terms of health and happiness. This is a sick little merry-go-round we're on. Fortunately, he has a novel solution that I would hope the powers that be would consider: a progressive consumption tax that would give an incentive for the rich to think twice about this reckless extravagance that's dragging everyone else down as they try to keep up. It would encourage saving among the rest of us, which virtually all economists agree is sorely needed, and if nothing else would force the super-wealthy to at least kick in something for the public good while they're running themselves ragged with their endless shopping for expensive gew gaws.

This is a very accessible little book, written in easy to understand language that gets to the heart of the problem for average people who are just trying to make a living and raise their kids and find some way to leave this world a little better than they found it. It gives us some real insight into how we actually find our place in the world around us and --- pursue happiness. That important knowledge leads to how we might change policies to actively encourage that fundamental American value.

Friday, August 10, 2007

Links about the credit liquidity crisis

Here are some links:

A Bloomberg article on the Central Bank efforts to stem the "run on the bank."

A Yahoo/AP article - same subject.

Yahoo/Reuters article - same subject, with more focus on foreign Central banks.

What's happening to hedge and bond funds managed by big names on "The Street" as their values collapse and even more investors sell out, including the next big name after Bear Stearns to feel the heat.

Now, for the socialists who stand with me - American Leftist has been doing a bunch of
articles about how this is going to affect those "without," while those "with" can always find new opportunities. His front page is always changing, so I can't link you to specific articles, but he's all about this (and not Iraq, and Defeatocrats, or Fright Wingers, or Neocons.)

Mortgage industry morbid humor

IMPORTANT GUIDELINE CHANGES

Very Important- Guideline Changes Effective August 8, 2007

All borrowers must have one blue eye and one brown eye to qualify.

LTV > 65% SIVA requires minimum credit score of 849.

For all LTV > 65%, 360 months of payment reserves now required.

Borrower's must have no previous bankruptcies in their family history going back
three generations.

A minimum of 25 years self-employment history now required for all NIV Programs (at same location).

Minimum Credit Score for Subprime Loans raised to 720.

All non-arm's length transaction borrowers (mortgage, real estate professionals,
family members) will be required to provide full-documentation, subject to
criminal background checks, wire tapping, strip-searches, and a minimum of 12
hours of interrogation by the Department of Homeland Security.

Please note that these changes will go into effect within the next five minutes. So please lock you existing loan immediately. All existing loans in your pipeline must fund by noon tomorrow.

We apologize for the inconvenience. We realize these are tough times in the mortgage
industry for all of us. Be assured that we have a commitment to remaining strong and
weathering out the storm. We ask for your understanding and cooperation.

"TRANSLATIONS"

These poke fun at the "stated/no income" programs that were made available over the last six years at low credit scores, combined with zero down payments.

The maximum credit score possible is 850.

A credit score of 720 or higher is considered statistically unlikely to ever make a late payment.

SIVA means "Stated income, verified assets." That means we tell them what the income is, but provide no proof, but the assets (money in the bank) is verified with third-party documentation (bank statements, etc.)

LTV means loan to value - anything less than 100% gives you the figure for how much the bank is lending and the difference is what the customer has as a down payment.

Non-arm's length transactions refer to deals where people with direct relationships (family members, business partners, etc.) are the buyer and seller, or borrower and mortgage broker. They are considered very risky, as the relationship bears a great deal of weight in determining what price is going to be paid, as opposed to market forces.

Which building will be our Bastille?

The mass of men lead lives of quiet desperation.

Henry David Thoreau (1817 - 1862), "Walden", 1854


My dad used to say this all the time.

I've been resisting the urge to run around in the street, flapping my arms and yelling "The SKY IS FALLING." Well, only since yesterday.

The Federal Reserve is BUYING mortgage backed securities. Uh .. is this akin to bailing the Titanic with a tin can? I don't know.

I've been sharing this ongoing bit of drama with a few friends, and they (being smart and thoroughly read) people are still having trouble understanding it.

So, here's my down and dirty description of what's happening - I apologize for any misstatements of "economic theory" or mis-attributions. But, basically, this is what's happening:

15:10] Brian : OK, remember, economics are not my forte.
[15:10] DrDivo1: okay
[15:12] Brian : So describe it in terms I can understand
[15:14] DrDivo1: http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601087&sid=aZ.cxsJa71xg&refer=home
[15:14] DrDivo1: Okay, in terms that anyone should be able to relate to
[15:15] DrDivo1: six years ago, the economy was headed for a serious recession. Bush "won" the election campaigning that it would do so.
[15:15] DrDivo1: He came into office, and seven months later, we had 9/11 and a HUGE pulldown in economic activity.
[15:15] Brian : And GM got it back on track, so to speak, right?
[15:16] DrDivo1: to "prime" our nation's economy, which is 65% consumer spending, the government, through the banking regulators and the Federal Reserve relaxed lending requirements on home equity and home buying.
[15:16] DrDivo1: and they pushed interest rates down from the 6.5% range where they had been to the 5.00% range.
[15:16] DrDivo1: they held those interest rates down there for almost four years
[15:17] Brian : OK
[15:18] DrDivo1: These low interest rates, combined with relaxed credit regulations created a whole range of mortgage loan products that were unprecedented in their liberality and accessability
[15:18] Brian : Such as the interest-only mortgage?
[15:18] DrDivo1: hundreds of thousands of people bought "up" or bought homes that previously would have only been renters
[15:18] DrDivo1: and the low start mortgage payment
[15:18] DrDivo1: 100% financing
[15:18] DrDivo1: etc.
[15:18] Brian : Which aren't necessarily bad, per se.
[15:19] DrDivo1: the broad access to cheap credit also had people buying "investment" property with nothing down
[15:19] Brian : 100% financing is fine...if the person buying has decent credit and isn't buying to the max of what they're able to pay, right?
[15:19] DrDivo1: correct
[15:19] Brian : But people were buying homes beyond what they reasonably could afford.
[15:19] DrDivo1: but, these loans allowed people to borrow up to 55% of their monthly income in payment.
[15:20] Brian : And paying nothing towards the principal on the house, so they were building no equity
[15:20] DrDivo1: since the payments were kept articifically low by low "introductory" rates on adjustable rate mortgages or interest only mortgages ..
[15:20] Brian : On the assumption that the housing prices would go up and up and up and up and up. Right?
[15:20] DrDivo1: everyone was counting on the price appreciation which was based on the reduced cost and easier access to credit
[15:20] DrDivo1: yes
[15:20] Brian : And then people were compounding their debt by borrowing off the increased value of their homes, no?
[15:21] DrDivo1: yes
[15:21] DrDivo1: with which they bought swimming pools, cars, vacations, stocks ..
[15:21] Brian : Even though they had no equity in where they lived, and probably were upside down from the moment they took the keys.
[15:21] DrDivo1: our nation was living on home equity lending and new home sales for the last five years
[15:21] DrDivo1: People could live on what they could borrow on their increased equity in some states/markets
[15:22] Brian : Because houses were undervalued until about five, six years ago
[15:22] DrDivo1: no, house were valued at what they traded for.
[15:22] DrDivo1: Which was based on supply and demand
[15:22] DrDivo1: demand was artificially incented five ish years ago by the wide availability of very cheap credit
[15:22] Brian : But, I mean, some of this growth was fueled by people returning to downtown areas that were abandoned in the 60s
[15:23] DrDivo1: to respond to that increased demand, the home builders created huge tracts of new homes
[15:23] Brian : I remember back in the mid-90s, you could still buy property in DC for five figures, which was too low.
[15:23] DrDivo1: I'd say that so little of that growth was based on regentrification that it was insignificant
[15:23] Brian : And that was what kicked off the housing boom that spread to the suburbs
[15:23] Brian : I'd only say it was significant because it's what kicked off everything else.
[15:24] Brian : Though now, prices within regentrified areas are as out of whack as everywhere else.
[15:24] DrDivo1: the gentrification was based on low property values in those inner city areas, which is natural demand
[15:24] DrDivo1: if not more so
[15:24] DrDivo1: and in those inner city re-developed areas, the price falls are harder
[15:24] Brian : Then the suburbs? Really? Because that would seem to sheild cities like Atlanta and Houston more.
[15:25] Brian : But Atlanta has a repo rate twice the national average
[15:25] DrDivo1: all of the grown in Houston has been in the suburbs
[15:25] Brian : Same in Atlanta
[15:25] Brian : OK, so what happens then?
[15:26] DrDivo1: foreclosed homes start to overtake the natural supply - inventories of unsold homes increases beyond demand (especially now that interest rates have rebounded to near 7%) and prices start to fall
[15:26] DrDivo1: this creates more foreclosures, as people who can't sell or refinance are pressured to let their properties go
[15:27] Brian : OK
[15:28] DrDivo1: until the prices of the real estate fall to a point that those who can buy (usually as investment properties) start to buy, even with 10% or more down payment and interest rates around 8% - when it all balances back out.
[15:28] DrDivo1: Then, people who used to be homeowners and are now foreclosed out become renters again.
[15:28] Brian : OK
[15:29] Brian : And that's, what, 14 million homes right?
[15:29] DrDivo1: the tax base for local governments falls dramatically, as the falling real estate values begins to take down commercial values about 18 - 24 months later.
[15:30] DrDivo1: since raw residential land falls to near zero value, that falls into the commercial side sooner or later, as no land is worth what it was
[15:30] Brian : OK
[15:31] Brian : And then?
[15:32] DrDivo1: and then everything's down lower than it was before. And, for those who have money, a huge buying opportunity is created.
[15:32] DrDivo1: massive wealth transfer is accomplished.
[15:32] Brian : So, rich get richer?
[15:32] DrDivo1: very much so
[15:33] Brian : Since there's no proper taxation to rebalance income?
[15:33] DrDivo1: they got hugely richer by investing in these CBOs and then dumping them when they started to falter months ago
[15:33] DrDivo1: and now, they'll be able to buy up the properties with the money that they made off of developing them in the first place
[15:34] Brian : I see
[15:36] Brian : So, how is this stopped?
[15:36] DrDivo1: I don't know


That was what came before, but it makes more sense to discuss it after:

[14:45] DrDivo1: If I said something about the amount of money the central banks have been pumping into the economy, would it mean anything to you?
[14:46] Brian : Possibly.
[14:46] Brian : I do, you know, read and jonxt.
[14:46] DrDivo1: most people I know do, but this is beyond most of them.
[14:46] DrDivo1: Today, the Fed has put over $38B into the economy; more than $15B of that buy BUYING mortgage backed securities that aren't FNMA grade
[14:47] DrDivo1: Japan put in 9.5B today
[14:47] DrDivo1: dollars
[14:48] Brian : OK...explain
[14:49] DrDivo1: everyone who's invested into CBOs (non Fannie Mae mortgage backed securities) has been slammed - cash calls, increased pricing on their debt, stock declines in the 20 to 70% range.
[14:49] Brian : CBO = ?
[14:49] DrDivo1: all of the banks who have exposure to CBOs
[14:49] DrDivo1: collateralized bond obligation
[14:49] Brian : OK
[14:49] Brian : Go on
[14:49] DrDivo1: all of those banks have pulled ALL the way back on lending to mitigate their potential risk
[14:50] DrDivo1: some bakns are cutting off access to funds for some of their clients who have substnatial positions in CBOs
[14:50] Brian : OK
[14:50] DrDivo1: in Europe, Korean, Canada and here
[14:50] Brian : OK
[14:51] DrDivo1: so, the central banks are throwing money in - which they do by dropping interest rates on loaned liquidity to next to nothing
[14:51] DrDivo1: today, the NY Fed dropped its basic rate.
[14:51] DrDivo1: however, the Fed Funds are trading at a premium to the quoted rate - meaning (as I understand it) that the money is being soaked up faster than it's being released
[14:52] Brian : So...it's like a drought of money needed to keep the mortgage brokers liquid due to all the bad loans they made defaulting?
[14:52] DrDivo1: no
[14:52] Brian : Oh.
[14:52] DrDivo1: much much much higher up the food chain
[14:53] DrDivo1: keeping UBS Paine Webber liquid.
[14:53] DrDivo1: pension funds.
[14:53] DrDivo1: hedge funds.
[14:53] DrDivo1: Bank of America.
[14:53] Brian : Funds and banks that invested in the mortgage companies?
[14:53] DrDivo1: invested in the mortgages. Not the mortgage companies.
[14:53] Brian : How does a hedge fund invest in an individual mortgage?
[14:55] DrDivo1: the mortgages are "bundled" together into a CBO - then, the CBO (with the mortgages as security/collateral) are sold on the stock market
[14:56] Brian : I see
[14:58] Brian : So...these organizations that invested in these CBOs...what's happening to them?
[15:08] DrDivo1: their stock price has been slammed
[15:09] DrDivo1: the organizations that existed primarily to fund/sell these CBOs are basically without value
[15:09] Brian : I see.



So, what's looking more and more probable is that not only will our economy hit the wall, but our currency will devalue significantly. The housing market is SCREWED for two decades or more in the absence of a huge productivity boom (which I think is quite possible.)

I will admit that I, like my father, am so progressive that I'm a near Socialist. I believe that the Bushies put this together to a degree. Well, a BIG degree. After all, Bob Perry (one of the nation's largest home builders) was Bush's original "Pioneer."

But, this loosening of bank regulations put in place during the great depression has been coming on for years - and Bill Clinton was up to his nipples in working with the Gingrich Congress to make it happen. I also admit that I nearly always attribute any tendency of those who have to accumulate more to be at cause.

So, take it for what it's worth, filter out the dogma but this is basically what's going on. Absent our foreign debt, the oil markets, climate change, globalization and so on.

Twenty-four years ago

I stayed home one afternoon from grad school to watch Michael Jackson's "Thriller" video world debut on MTV. It was amazing - it's still very high quality work. I remember hearing that the choreography was .. blah blah .. so complex, etc.



Recently, a prison population in Cebu, Philippines has been quelling the normal boredom and frustration of custodial life by reproducing the entire production. An amateur film of these prisoners playing Michael Jackson and his army of zombie dancers has been one of the most highly watched videos on YouTube ...



Nothing as dramatic as a big drag queen "in trouble."

Of course, the whole thing has passed into the common realm to the point that it's parody:

Thursday, August 09, 2007

Thursday night -

I'm watching "Making Love," 1982 - with Harry Hamlin. I haven't seen this since about .. um, 1982.

Funny how it's still apropos for today. Women of the world, if you have a man who's sexually active and is found to be missing from the world from time to time - WATCH THIS MOVIE.

It's only 21:36 and I'm already sleepy. Thank GOD.

Antibes Blue Dreams

Back to the future...

Our saber rattling has pushed Russia into resuming armed long range bomber missions - it's 1968 all over!! GO NEOCONS!

Russian bomber jets resume Cold War sorties - Yahoo! News

Photo Sharing and Video Hosting at Photobucket

Photo Sharing and Video Hosting at Photobucket

Yep. It's Dr. Strangelove! War Day! The Day After!

Who cares about climate change when the Evil Russians are going after us?

Oh, I think that there's a more immediate threat based on our saber rattling habits:

China Threatens to Dump Dollars

Two officials at leading Communist Party bodies have given interviews in recent days warning - for the first time - that Beijing may use its $1.33 trillion (£658bn) of foreign reserves as a political weapon to counter pressure from the US Congress.

Shifts in Chinese policy are often announced through key think tanks and academies.

Described as China's "nuclear option" in the state media, such action could trigger a dollar crash at a time when the US currency is already breaking down through historic support levels.

It would also cause a spike in US bond yields, hammering the US housing market and perhaps tipping the economy into recession. It is estimated that China holds over $900bn in a mix of US bonds.


Here's what's really fun about that - if the Chinese were pushed by our arrogance into making such a choice, yes, they'd be cutting off their noses to spite their faces - BUT - they've got enough trade going to the rest of the world that it could be acceptable.

In our country? USAMERICA!

We'd have the collapse of the dollar on the world market - meaning, that a US Dollar would be worth - say - twenty-five Canadian pennies (stuff coming from Canada would cost four times more) or fifty British pence (ditto) or just over half a Euro.

The real fun would be that everything you buy at Wal-Mart now for cheap would increase in price by the fall of the dollar PLUS the rise in Chinese currency.

I guess that would reverse globalism in a heartbeat when our cost of doing business fell by 400% and we became instantly competitive and profitable again.

Assuming we could keep the lights on.

Tuesday, August 07, 2007

Do we really need heterosexuals anymore?



Significant to the "joke" is the inherent truth of the argument that, if God or evolution (whichever you subscribe to) didn't WANT us here, all the opportunities in the world have been passed by to get rid of us. We just keep popping into existence.

Sunday, August 05, 2007

I look like Al Gore?

It must have just been the expression on my face.

Yesterday, I went to see "SiCKO" with David at the AMC Dunvale. Many of my readers have seen it. Many of my readers would rather cut off a limb and have to sit through an evening at Ben Taub's ER before they'd choose to see the film.

I'm just going to point out two things about the discussion of UHC -


Mark 12:28One of the teachers of the law came and heard them debating. Noticing that Jesus had given them a good answer, he asked him, "Of all the commandments, which is the most important?"

29"The most important one," answered Jesus, "is this: 'Hear, O Israel, the Lord our God, the Lord is one.[e] 30Love the Lord your God with all your heart and with all your soul and with all your mind and with all your strength.'[f] 31The second is this: 'Love your neighbor as yourself.'[g]There is no commandment greater than these."

32"Well said, teacher," the man replied. "You are right in saying that God is one and there is no other but him. 33To love him with all your heart, with all your understanding and with all your strength, and to love your neighbor as yourself is more important than all burnt offerings and sacrifices."

34When Jesus saw that he had answered wisely, he said to him, "You are not far from the kingdom of God." And from then on no one dared ask him any more questions.


“The greatness of a nation and its moral progress can be judged by the way its animals are treated.. I hold that, the more helpless a creature, the more entitled it is to protection by man from the cruelty of man"
-- Mahatma Gandhi (1869 - 1948)


Let all bear in mind that a society is judged not so much by the standards attained by its more affluent and privileged members as by the quality of life which it is able to assure for its weakest members.
~H.E. Javier Perez de Cuellar

The moral test of a government is how it treats those who are at the dawn of life, the children; those who are in the twilight of life, the aged; and those who are in the shadow of life, the sick and the needy, and the handicapped.
~Hubert Humphrey


Watching how France treats their citizens made me sick to my stomach. Watching how Cuban doctors took care of sick Americans for free made me ashamed. Having experienced the uninsured health care system in this country and having had the stress of uncertainty of being able to seek medical treatment, I can say that people who assault the concept of UHC are uninformed and without compassion or feeling for other people.

As we were walking out the the theater, a woman who had seen the movie with us said that I look like Al Gore.

A lovely compliment (in my book,) but not really true. I'd have to drop about 100 pounds, grow three inches, and slick my hair back. However, the moral indignation is there.

Guy thinks I need a radio show on XM, or that I should move to another, more equitable country. Bram's ready to head for France.

Wednesday, August 01, 2007

Hump Day thinking

Herbert Agar

"The truth that makes men free is for the most part the truth which men prefer not to hear."

Dick Cavett

"It's a rare person who wants to hear what he doesn't want to hear."

Tallulah Bankhead

"It's the good girls who keep diaries; the bad girls never have the time."

Sophocles

"The keenest sorrow is to recognize ourselves as the sole cause of all our adversities."

Barry LePatner

"Good judgment comes from experience, and experience comes from bad judgment."

The housing market, in which I participate as my primary business, has fallen apart. In the space of seven days, Wells Fargo (subprime,) ABC and Fieldstone have all gone out of business. We've had loans caught up in the ABC failure.


AS AMERICAN HOME FALLS, TOP BANKS MAY TAKE A HIT

By David Weidner 4:22 PM ET Jul 31, 2007

NEW YORK (MarketWatch) -- Investors in American Home Mortgage Investment Corp. may not be the only casualties as that lender teeters on the brink of liquidation.

Wall Street banks may also be on the hook for billions of dollars in bad loans.

Barclays, UBS, Bear Stearns Cos. and Bank of America Corp. are among the banks that provided a combined $9.7 billion in loans to back American Home's mortgage underwriting, according to the company's quarterly filing with the Securities and Exchange Commission.

American home said Tuesday it has missed margin calls from its lenders and has hired advisers to consider strategic options including the liquidation of its assets. Its shares plunged $9.43 to close at $1.04. See full story.

Among the loans American Home disclosed: a $2 billion pre-purchase facility with the Real Estate Securities unit of UBS , a $2.0 billion credit facility from Bear Stearns , a $1.3 billion syndicated loan led by Bank of America , a $1 billion loan from Barclays , a $1.5 billion syndicated loan led by Calyon Securities and a $124 million loan from J.P. Morgan Chase & Co. .

It also has a $250 million credit facility with ABN Amro .

American Home said there are committed credit lines for the loans from Bank of America, J.P. Morgan Chase and Calyon Securities.

The company also said it has sale gestation facilities with UBS, Greenwich Capital Financial Products, Inc., Societe Generale, and Deutsche Bank .

Representatives from UBS, Bank of America and Barclays did not immediately return calls seeking comment. A spokeswoman for Bear Stearns declined comment. A spokesman for J.P. Morgan declined comment.

Officials from ABN Amro and Calyon Securities could not be reached.


Click here for a more socialist or progressive view of what's happening in the housing market.

After days like the last few, I begin to think that the world's coming to an end much sooner than anyone could have predicted, and that it's going to get ugly.

James Cramer of thestreet.com created a buzz by telling people who purchased homes in 2006, people who are facing price declines of 20% to 30%, to walk away from them and default on their loans. According to Cramer, better to default, and preserve your credit cards and your car so that you can still function in this society. Not surprisingly, along with giving such unsolicited advice, he expects a 100% default rate on adjustible rate mortgages financed from February 2006 to January 2007.
Cramer, a former hedge fund manager (before they became ubiquitous) who has recast himself as a media personality, is highly visible on television (MSNBC), radio (a weekend syndicated program) and the 'Net (thestreet.com), so a lot of people heard what he said. At first, I was shocked by his blunt candor, and the alarming consequences for home prices and home mortgage lenders, but there may an explanation that provides some insight into the severity of the current situation.

Note Cramer's emphasis upon preserving access to credit card debt and car financing. As I have noted in the more sinister context of neoliberalism in the lesser developed world, if you are unable to access credit to consume, you run the risk of becoming superfluous, because economic efficiencies created by technological advances have sharply reduced the need to employ people to participate in the production of commodities, as I have observed here (click on the comments to this post over at Democracy in America) and here.

Accordingly, one can interpret Cramer's advice as an indication of the urgency of preserving the ability of people to consume with the use of credit. Or, to put it slightly differently, if people attempt the impossible, and stay in their homes, paying sharply increased mortgage payments after their initial adjustible teaser rates expire, they will destroy their access to any form of credit, and lose the ability to purchase things like cars, designer clothes, personal computers and flat panel televisions. They will have been, in effect, forcibly separated from most of the markets of commodity consumption in a capitalist system, reduced to purchasing goods required for their basic needs and some simple (measured in terms of low cost and ready availability) entertainment items, such as DVDs and video games.

Cramer is implicitly sensitive to the peril, recall his specific remark that people should keep their cars. He is expressly concerned about the undeniable fact that it is hard to live in the US without a vehicle, but he is also worried that people will be unable to purchase cars in the future if they allow their credit to be completely eradicated. He is willing to sacrifice financial institutions, brokerage houses and investment funds involved in the speculative and fraudulent excesses of the housing bubble, so that the other sectors of the economy can survive.

Cramer's willingness to openly do so reveals the severity of the economic crisis before us, but it remains to be seen whether it is possible to surgically abandon the malefactors of the housing bubble successfully as he seems to believe. It all sounds like another manifestation of containment, a term recently used by government figures and financial experts to depreciate the significance of the threat, a term that has now been seized upon by critics as a universal short-hand form of ridicule.

Monday, July 30, 2007

Monday, Monday ver. 983.01

Seems that Comcast's efforts last Friday paid off in some ways.



My download speed is faster than T3. My signal continuity is crap, though, which is why I've got them coming out again. Tomorrow. At 1700. Yuck.

It's late, and I'm whipped. Time to take Jackie out and crawl into bed.

Thursday, July 26, 2007

Thursday with the girls

I have dinner and a show tonight with Nancy and Nicole and that's going to be a lot of fun.

So, today I've been working on commercial deals. They take longer, but they're more reliable. And, they're completely within my own control for producing them as packages, which is a good thing.

Tuesday, July 24, 2007

The other day, while waiting for sanity to return..

The events of last week to me were so shocking - up until now, we've not been faced with direct affront to the Constitution. Everything in my lawyer trained brain has been chipping away at edges. Last week, we had direct affront and direct assertion that "those rules don't apply to us."

I've changed how I respond to Neoconic conversation. Most of the time, I'd try to counter their assertions with gentle facts and my own logic. Now, I'm directly questioning their sources and logic (especially after some kind assistance from Guy in focusing my dissatisfaction.) "Where did you hear THAT? Who said it? Where did they get their facts?"

Why does this work? Because it's a valid form of argument and debate.

BROOKS: But, so you think "OK, get out." On the other hand, if we leave....we could see 250,000 Iraqis die -- you had the John Burns quotation earlier in the program. So are we willing to prevent 10,000 Iraqi deaths a month at the cost of 125 Americans?

WOODWARD: And the problem, though, is we don't know. People can say, "Oh, it's going to be a disaster." I mean, you've -- you cite numbers which are pulled out of the air -- "10,000 dying" -- I mean that's -- where does that come from?

BROOKS: Well, A, it comes from John Burns. Second, it comes from the national intelligence...

WOODWARD: Well, no, he doesn’t say 10,000.

BROOKS: Well, no, no, but it talks about genocide.

WOODWARD: Yeah.

BROOKS: So I just picked that 10,000 out of the air.



They just make this shit up. We're going to see how long these ideas hold up when scrutinized. It ought to last about as long as "welfare mothers driving Cadillacs" and "illegal immigrants swamping the emergency rooms for free health care" bullshit.

We were talking about the movie "Sicko" the other day, and how it was portraying our health care "system" as fundamentally broken. That group's resident neocon was carrying on about how the doctors would leave, how there weren't enough good doctors now because of malpractice lawsuits, how the Big Pharma wouldn't research new drugs if they couldn't make a profit blah, blah, blah.

If there's even a lingering question in your mind about those points, or if you're still convinced that medical treatment in another country is a danger to your health (as did the lawyer who recently violated a "no travel" order from the CDC and traveled on commercial air carriers with a particularly nasty strain of TB) then you should read this.

Someone was telling me the other day that a hospice worker in a large medical facility associated with the US Government was alarmed that they were treating ten patients terminal with Mad Cow disease, for which there is no cure. This worker asserted that the US Government was intent on that humans were catching Mad Cow in the US out of the awareness of the population, so that the dead cow industry (including steak houses, McDonald's, and the monolithic food production corporations) could continue to abuse illegal migrant workers and pump cheap beef into our food supply. I'm going to do some searching of media articles on Mad Cow infections in humans to see if there is anything going on about this.

Okay, so you can concede that the Neoconic social arguments may have flaws, but after all they're just SO GOOD for the economy. Are ya sure, bunky?

The huge deficits that were created by the government's choices and the tax cuts are bearing down upon us, and it was the CLINTON administration's financial goodness that provided them with the cushion to transfer all of this wealth to the wealthy. And, the policies of this government disincentivize the next governments to change anything.

Just so you're clear - YOU reading this are NOT one of the wealthy persons who received a penny's benefit from all of this "robust economy."

And, and just so you're REALLY clear, the "fix" for social security isn't to have privatization, it's to index the benefits age to life expectancy and to raise the SS tax. A smidge.

If you're thinking that the Bush tax cuts "trickled down" into the economy as did Reagan's, you're smoking that voodoo weed (with credit to G.H.W. Bush, who called Reagan's "trickle down" plan "voodoo economics during the 1980 Republican primaries. Or did you not remember that?) there is now data, numbers, proof that it's not that way.

When Bush took office, the Dow was at 13,851. Most of the increase has been because of the corporate tax rate cuts that, conservatively, have added 20% to ALL stock prices. If you deflate the Dow (which is not an indicator that the economy is generally healthy for normal people - it's an indicator that the economy for fund managers, stock brokers and the investor class is healthy) by that amount, the Dow WOULD be at 11,081 - or a mere 381 points higher than nearly seven years ago.

Now factor in inflation and you have ... ? Not a Goddamned thing. They have not advanced the economy by the SOLE MEASURE THAT THEY CAN POINT TO by squat.

Good job on that voting booth choice there. You keep that sort of thing up, and we're going to be an amusement park for foreign tourists. ALL TERROR, ALL THE TIME! WHOOT! Vote for the Fright wing! They'll protect us!

Bram had a dream about me the other night that I was killed in a car jacking. The next night, Brian had a dream about me that I was living in Cuba - because Cuba was such a great place to live. In his dream, Cuba's current environment hadn't changed an iota, but the rest of the world had fallen apart, so it was now a paradise.

If any single point in this blog made you sit up and think "oh my, well .. " and you're wondering why we're here politically, it's because THIS is all anyone is willing to talk about.



If you're more concerned about John Edward's haircut than you are about what they're doing with your tax money and your Constitution, then you deserve to live in a shithole that makes Cuba look like paradise. I'll send you a postcard.

Saturday, July 21, 2007

No politics. Not a shred. Nope. It's safe to read.

Where to start?

First of all, I love my new teakettle. It's pepper red, it's awesome, and it's slower than Vermont syrup in winter. The box had instructions (who knew?) that advise one shouldn't ever use high heat, only medium at most.

You have any idea how long it takes to heat water on medium heat?

However, the teakettle heats the water VERY hot. I made coffee this morning with the cool drip thing I got at the House of Coffee beans and a pot of water which had just been whistling on the stove. The coffee drips down through the paper filter (containing the coffee) and straight into the carafe. It (the coffee) was HOT. Like, tongue burning lava hot.

It was awesome!

Then, I took off the red bed stuff ('cause I was bored with it after three or four years) and replaced it with the beige. I like it. Now, I REALLY hate the sky blue paint in there.

I also swept, and dusted, and tidied. And as you know, railed about politics a while.

Picked up the dry cleaning. $29 for five pair of trousers and five shirts. Talked to the TV repair guy whose shop is next to the dry cleaner. He thinks that the TV can be easily repaired - I'll have to get Bram to help take it over there. He has a gorgeous Samsung LCD television that I'm really in love with.

This evening, Guy came over to hang out a little - he had a programmable thermostat that is vertically oriented and cooler than the one I already had, which tomorrow is going to the church. Vertically oriented, it covers the wallpaper that was behind the old Honeywell thermostat that we replaced back in March. Then, he went into the attic and balanced the air flow through the air handler - so now there is less air going into the front to bedrooms and a lot more coming out downstairs and into my room. YAY!

Larry and I were emailing today back and forth. He always has something going with his friends; tomorrow, people coming over to his place to hang out and have burgers on the grill. It's just crazy - I sit here most days alone (save and except for my computer) because there's no one to play with or hang out with.

Makes me think about moving to Dallas. Again.

Was talking to David, my best friend from college the other day. I was joking with him that someone in one of my yahoo groups was asking why we hadn't seen any new work from the porn star who is the reason for the group - I knew that said porno person lived in South Africa and was hard to get out of there to DO the work. I suggested to David that porn stars have expiry dates, and his was long past - he replied that he was actually going to use said pornpers in a movie next month, and was just then working on his airline ticket.

So, I pitched in and helped. He was quite stunned that I should know the rough airline connections between Johannesburg and the US; but, I do. I just can't help myself.

Saved him about $600.

It's almost time to head up to bed to get some sleep before church in the morning.

How does Bush feel about Roe vs. Wade?

He really doesn't care how the poor leave New Orleans.

So, a few days ago (if you clicked through and read the article about neocons and their unadulterated thoughts) we learned that the entitled, white, wealthy neocons believe that everyone other than themselves should be .. um .. killed, shunned or working in indentured servitude for them. And that Europe and England were overrun by Muslims and were basically lost to us. Well, not us - to them.

Now it's time for you to do some work. And for those who don't LIKE to have to think, ponder, consider, weigh, or evaluate, I'll give you the bullet points:

* The Bush administration has arguably (well, not really, but people will say it's not so) made it illegal to speak out again their policies at all
* The US Justice Department has been completely politicized to the extent that only the intentions of the Executive will be pursued
* The most important courts in the land have been completely politicized to the extent that only the intentions of the Executive will be enforced
* It is no longer possible to bring suit against the Federal Government to invalidate laws or policies on constitutional basis unless you can prove actual damage
* The Executive has declared itself above and beyond Congressional oversight, and declared itself exemption from subpoena, hearing, or testimony on issues that the Executive wishes not to speak about
* The mainstream media with very little exception is promoting the mission and message of the Executive
* The Executive is telling us that another significant terror attack is about to happen
* When it does, you can expect that these items set forth above will be used to suspend the national elections, prevent court challenges to the Executive's actions, take firm control of the media - including the internet, suspend the Bill of Rights (those parts of it not already suspended - just wait until they make private ownership of guns illegal) and likely suspend the Congress.

The actions taken without resistance by the People, the Congress and the media are nearly identical to those taken in Nazi Germany that allowed Hitler to declare the opposing political party members to be traitors and criminals, to dissolve their party, arrest and detain those political leaders and end any opposition to their policies. You should remember that the Nazi regime was the most financially corrupt of any organized government EVER in modern history - something that we here in the US are encroaching on as a record.

But, go ahead and think about what movie you're going to to watch this weekend - it's not like it's really going to change or anything.

A little click through here to listen to Reagan's assistant Secretary of the Treasury telling us that these folks are about to suspend the constitution and make USAmerica a police state. Unless we act RIGHT NOW.

Which is about as likely to happen as me getting out on a ladder today and painting the front of the house - us acting right now.

Of course, what if we all changed course against all predictable outcomes and began to actually scream, holler and pitch fits?

The government could seize all of your property, that's what. This woman's writing about this new tack is succinct and direct, and brings in historical elements that you should be aware of.


Bush Outlaws All War Protest In United States
By Sorcha Faal, and as reported to her Western Subscribers 7-19-7


In one of his most chilling moves to date against his own citizens,
the American War Leader has issued a sweeping order this week outlawing
all forms of protest against the Iraq war.

President Bush enacted into US law an 'Executive Order' on July 17th
titled "Blocking Property of Certain Persons Who Threaten Stabilization
Efforts in Iraq", and which says:

"By the authority vested in me as President by the Constitution and
the laws of the United States of America, including the International
Emergency Economic Powers Act, as amended (50 U.S.C. 1701 et seq.)(IEEPA), the
National Emergencies Act (50 U.S.C. 1601 et seq.)(NEA), and section
301 of title 3, United States Code,

I, GEORGE W. BUSH, President of the United States of America, find
that, due to the unusual and extraordinary threat to the national security and
foreign policy of the United States posed by acts of violence threatening the
peace and stability of Iraq and undermining efforts to promote economic
reconstruction and political reform in Iraq and to provide humanitarian
assistance to the Iraqi people, it is in the interests of the United States
to take additional steps with respect to the national emergency declared in
Executive Order 13303 of May 22, 2003, and expanded in Executive Order 13315
of August 28, 2003, and relied upon for additional steps taken in Executive
Order 13350 of July 29, 2004, and Executive Order 13364 of November 29, 2004."

According to Russian legal experts, the greatest concern to the American people are the underlying provisions of this new law, and which, they state, are written 'so broadly' as to outlaw all forms of protest against the war.

These provisions state:

"(ii) to have materially assisted, sponsored, or provided financial, material, logistical, or technical support for, or goods or services in support of, such an act or acts of violence or any person whose property and interests in property are blocked pursuant to this order; or

(b) The prohibitions in subsection (a) of this section include, but are not limited to, (i) the making of any contribution or provision of funds, goods, or services by, to, or for the benefit of any person whose property and interests in property are blocked pursuant to this order, and (ii) the receipt of any contribution or provision of funds, goods, or services from any such person.

(c) the term "United States person" means any United States citizen, permanent resident alien, entity organized under the laws of the United States or any jurisdiction within the United States (including foreign branches), or any person in the United States.

All agencies of the United States Government are hereby directed to take all appropriate measures within their authority to carry out the provisions of
this order and, where appropriate, to advise the Secretary of the Treasury
in a timely manner of the measures taken."

To the subsection of this new US law, according to these legal experts, that
says "...the making of any contribution or provision of funds, goods, or services by, to, or for the benefit...", the insertion of the word 'services' has broad, and catastrophic, consequences for the American people in that any act deemed by their government to be against the Iraqi war is, in fact, supporting the 'enemy' and therefore threatens the 'stabilization of Iraq'.

In an even greater affront to the American people are the provisions of a law called The Patriot Act, and that should they run afoul of this new law they are forbidden to allow anyone to know about it, and as we can read as reported by the Seattle Times News Service:


"The [Patriot] act also expands the use of National Security Letters, which are a kind of warrant that the Justice Department writes for itself, authorizing its agents to seize such things as records of money movements, telephone calls and Internet visits. Recipients of a National Security Letter are not allowed to tell anyone about them, and so cannot contest them."

It is interesting to note, too, that this is not the first time that the United States has unleashed the brutal power of their government against its citizens to further their war aims and stifle domestic dissent, as during the European conflict of World War I they enacted a law called The Sedition Act of 1918 and which ...forbade Americans to use "disloyal, profane, scurrilous, or abusive language" about the United States government, flag, or armed forces during war."

It is curious to note that after the enactment of this new law there has been no protest by any of the other political leaders in the United States, with the exception of the only Muslim member of the United States Congress, Minnesota Democrat Keith Ellison, and who compared President Bush to the Nazi War Leader Adolph Hitler by stating the attacks upon the World Trade Center could be likened to the burning of the Reichstag.

Today, as the United States faces an imminent economic collapse, while at the same time its war bill has reached the staggering amount of $648 billion, one of the last freedoms the American people have had to protest their leaders actions against them, and other peoples in the World, has now been taken away from them, the freedom to speak and write in opposition to what is being done to them.

"If liberty means anything at all, it means the right to tell people what they do not want to hear.", said the great British writer George Orwell, but, and sadly, liberty has been lost to the once free people of the United States who are no longer allowed to tell their leaders, or each other, what they don't want to hear.

With this being so, the American people should, likewise, contemplate their 'new' future, and as, also, stated best by George Orwell, "If you want a vision of the future, imagine a boot stamping on a human face - forever."

C July 19, 2007 EU and US all rights reserved.

Thursday, July 19, 2007

Neocon jokes

Courtesy of Andrew Sullivan, by way of Harper's magazine...



Q: What do you get when you cross a neocon with a lemming?

A: Peace.

* * *

Q. How many neocons does it take to screw in a light bulb.

A. None. God won’t let their light bulbs go out. And it’s an impertinent question.

or

A. None. George Bush predicts the light bulb will be fully capable of changing itself within 3 months.

* * *

George W. Bush, Dick Cheney, and Joe Lieberman are all flying over New Orleans in a Blackhawk, surveying the progress that has been made in rebuilding the city and the levees. As they fly over the Ninth Ward, Cheney looks out the window, grins, and says, “You know, I could throw a thousand-dollar bill out the window right now and make one of those poor bastards very happy.”

Bush says, “Well, I could throw ten hundred-dollar bills out the window right now and make TEN people very happy.”

Not to be outdone, Lieberman chimes in, “Oh yeah? Well, I could throw a hundred $10 bills out the window and make a HUNDRED Americans very happy.”

Hearing this, the copter pilot rolls his eyes and says, “Man, I could throw all three of you out the window and make 300 million Americans very happy.”

What if this has been a long-range plan coming to fruition?

Turns out that these neocons who have our country by the throat were going to try it in 1934:

1934: The Plot Against America

I’m back from the land of heather and thistles, not to mention wee drams and lukewarm ale, but on my way out a friend at the BBC alerted me to this, a not-to-miss program on the BBC this morning, accessible over the next several days by internet. It’s the story of the Plot Against America. I don’t mean the Philip Roth novel, nor even the Sinclair Lewis book, It Can’t Happen Here, but rather the historical events upon which these two works of fiction were based.

In November 1934, federal investigators uncovered an amazing plot involving some two dozen senior businessmen, a good many of them Wall Street financiers, to topple the government of the United States and install a fascist dictatorship. Roth’s novel is developed from several strands of this factual account; he assumed the plot is actually carried out, whereas in fact an alert FDR shut it down but stopped short of retaliatory measures against the plotters. A key element of the plot involved a retired prominent general who was to have raised a private army of 500,000 men from unemployed veterans and who blew the whistle when he learned more of what the plot entailed. The plot was heavily funded and well developed and had strong links with fascist forces abroad. A story in the New York Times and several other newspapers reported on it, and a special Congressional committee was created to conduct an investigation. The records of this committee were scrubbed and sealed away in the National Archives, where they have only recently been made available.

The Congressional committee kept the names of many of the participants under wraps and no criminal action was ever brought against them. But a few names have leaked out. And one is Prescott Bush, the grandfather of the incumbent president. Prescott Bush was of course deep into the business of the Hamburg-America Lines, and had tight relations throughout this period with the new Government that had come to power in Germany a year earlier under Chancellor Aldoph Hitler. It appears that Bush was to have formed a key liaison for the group with the new German government.

Prescott Bush, of course, went on to service as a U.S. Senator from Connecticut, and his son, George H.W. Bush emerged from World War II as a hero.

The Plot Against America portrayed in this episode of the BBC series “Document” gives fascinating insight into a dark and little known piece of American history in which the nation stood on the brink of betrayal. The role of the most powerful political dynastic family in the nation’s history in this whole affair is shocking.

Then, there's this ...

The Birchers from Digby, July 27, 2007

by tristero

The blogosphere seems astounded that Glenn Beck fluffed a John Bircher. In fact, it really should surpise no one. There is no ideological difference of any importance between modern conservatives and the John Birch Society, something I noted in my very first post, dated February 14, 2003:

In October of '02, I made a speech to a parent's gathering at my daughter's school about the Cuban Missile Crisis. In that speech I asserted that the Bush administration had been mistakenly classified by the press as "conservative." Instead, they are right-wing extremists with "intellectual" ties to the nuts of the Kennedy era, like Curtis Lemay or the John Birch Society members.

What follows is adopted from a post I wrote in September of '04.

The John Birch Society arose in the late 50's and rapidly grew to considerable prominence. It is worth noting that the Birchers were thought to be so extreme that William F. Buckley himself denounced them in the pages of National Review. Among their goals were:

1. The abolition of the graduated income tax.

2. The repeal of social security legislation.

3. The impeachment of various high government officials,

4..The end to busing for the purpose of school integration.

5. The end to U.S. membership in the United Nations.

As you can see, these goals, which were, 40 years ago, the platform of an extremist group on the fringes of American politics, are the all but spoken platform of the Bush administration and the modern Republican party. We have seen numerous attempts to eliminate the income tax; Bush has proposed changes to Social Security that will send it down the road to extinction; Bill Clinton was impeached and Governor Gray Davis of California removed from office; the busing issue has morphed into an intense focus of the easier-to-frame affirmative action; and the Bush administration, on the issue of Iraq and in many other ways, great and small, has worked assiduously to bypass the United Nations and make the actions of the UN worthless (see this notorious article by Perle for a neo-Bircher perspective.).

It is useful to read Bircher literature because, if for no other reason, it will give you insight into what underlies some -perhaps a lot - of the secular components of Bush's worldview.

Birch Society Founder Robert Welch believed that "an elite international cabal...is seeking to establish a world tyranny." In the U.S., that cabal was centered in the Council on Foreign Relations. Of course, Welch and his followers were convinced that Franklin Roosevelt was a communist and that the New Deal was pure socialism. But the Birchers went further. Some of the abettors of the vast communist conspiracy Welch saw as an imminent danger to freedom were President Dwight D. Eisenhower and John Foster Dulles.

But there is more, much more, to the Birchers than just this. At one point, the Birchers had "a minimum of 6,600 corporate-financed anticommunist broadcasts, carried by more than 1,300 radio and television stations at a total annual budget of about $20 million," which was an enormous sum in the early 60's.

Important Birch Society members were close to the Bush family and the close relationship between the families has continued to the present. The Birchers had major sponsors among Texas oilmen, of course, men like H.L.Hunt and J. Howard Pew. President George H. W. Bush was close enough to the Hunt family to say that H.L. Hunt's wife was "one of the loveliest human beings I have ever encountered." In the fall of 2004, the ambassador to Saudi Arabia is James C. Oberwetter; he was appointed by Bush II, and he was a high ranking member of the oil company founded by H.L. Hunt.

In short, the intellectual tradition, if you can call it that, that underlies Bushism is a branch of the conservative movement that's grown directly from the trunk of a crackpot tree. Since the 60's, the heirs to the Birchers dropped the more bizarre claims (no one's talking too much anymore about Eisenhower being a communist), and learned ways to disguise what they say (Dave Neiwert has written brilliantly on this; for a start, download his "Rush, Newspeak, and Fascism"). But they haven't lost sight of their end goal: to create an America fully in sync with Robert Welch's core vision.

Take, for example, the UN. Naturally, the role that an international organization might have in world affairs is a complex and subtle topic. However, the criticism and contempt Bush heaps on the UN does not address any of the real issues involved, nor can it, because it descends not from a serious intellectual engagement with the concepts, but from paranoid rumination.

The Bush administration's view of the UN and and the views of their apologists are directly analogous to the creationist assault on evolution. In both cases, there are serious issues and differences to be hashed out (how to respond to genocide/whether the punctuated equilibrium model fits the evidence for evolution). And in both cases, the people who are heaping the most scorn and garnering the most attention are completely unqualified for a serious, useful discussion.




So this says to me that all we're seeing is the success of these bastards (I want to call them cocksuckers, but that would make Fern's point to me when I visited Wendy in 1988, and I won't do it) in accomplishing their aims.

I've also read today that ALL of the military planning has been from the American Enterprise Institute on Iraq. NONE of it's coming from the Pentagon or from the Generals on the spot. All of it through Cheney.

Further to what I posted earlier

Here is a five page article in which Neocons, unedited and observed in their natural habitat, tell it the way they see it.

Compare this long tome to what I cross posted this morning, and tell me whether you understand the writer's viewpoint from this morning more clearly.

The serendipity of the two coming hot on each other's heels is nearly too much to bear.

Ah, Bill in Portland Maine

This guy is someone who's regular posts on Kos make me smile. I'm just going to show you the whole thing:

Iraq will become a Shiite theocracy.

General Patraeus will eventually be thrown on the scrapheap with all the other generals who displeased President Bush, Vice President Cheney, and Secretary of Vengeance Lieberman. A few months after he resigns he'll tell a congressional subcommittee that the Commander-in-Chief is insane.

The next "general" to be put in charge of Iraq will be a private contractor from Blackwater. Within 30 seconds of his appointment Senator Lindsay Graham will praise the amazing progress that "Skullcrusher Tim" is making.

"Atrios" is really Walter Cronkite. Duncan Black is his doorman.

Homes will soon be so cheap that they'll be offered as a free gift with the purchase of a flat-screen TV.

Free gift is redundant.

The first blogger to win a Pulitzer Prize will be either Digby or Glenn Greenwald.

The Catholic church isn’t sorry for its behavior during its decades-long, hierarchy-wide orgy with children. It is sorry, however, for getting caught. This is also true for whorehouse-frequenting "fidelity hawk" David Vitter, a sitting United States Senator whom children used to look up to but no longer do.

America's government is in a constitutional crisis but it's no big deal.

President Bush is to Congress as Cat is to Cat Box.

Democratic candidates who advocate for the poor must be poor themselves or else they're hypocrites. Democrats who promote environmental responsibility must stop using electricity and gas altogether or they're hypocrites. Republicans may flaunt their wealth and have sex with whores without penalty.

It's currently the middle of July. If you blink it'll be December.

Some clips from an article that I found speaks for me

This is from Daily Kos' poster AndyS in Colorado:

The first thing you should know about me is, I have Republican and right wing friends and family.

You should not take this in any way as approving of you, your philosophy, or the way those prominent people among you have destroyed and ruined not only the country, but the ability of some of us to even view you as fellow countrymen.

Nevertheless, I recognize the ability (unlike many of you) the need to "go along to get along".

To me, you "all" have destroyed civility, dialog, and compatriotship. Not me. To me, we are not fellow Americans, but only because you have made being fellow Americans impossible. We are Americans, you are something else. And I will not get into that here.

See, I don't want to destroy you, at least, not as human beings (I may very well want to destroy your political party). Instead, I want you to hit bottom.

So the first, Republican friends: These are business colleagues. I had no choice in their political affiliations. One of them told me, "All liberals should be lined up against a wall and shot", without provocation of any sort. He was smiling when he said it, but his eyes were cold. He meant it. Nevertheless, he and I are quite friendly and that relationship continues to this day. But, you should not confuse a necessary relationship with an optional one. And you should realize, even from these people, my attitude towards you all is informed by those people.

The second: Republican family: I barely talk to them anymore, in some sense, to my sorrow, in another sense, thanks to my final inability to take any more nonsense.

Other than those two categories, I have no Republican friends, nor do I wish for any.

Bill O'Reilly may state that liberals "hate" you. This is a distortion, but there is an element of juvenile truth in that observation, and I will explain the how and the why:

First of all, I despise the Republican predeliction for demonizing everything and everyone who (and that) does not conform to your ideology. It's not just that "you" started it, it's that the leaders of your movement, which you evidently approve of, continue it, with no evidence of contrition, remorse, or even will to desist.

What you may think you are seeing as "hate", I ask you to consider, as a somewhat dimmer reflection of your own hate, reflected back at you. And, like a reflection, it is a projection, the reflection of which will stop as soon as y'all stop emitting the radiation.

For me, as a gay man, it is very similar to a homophobe telling me I'm "intolerant" of them. Well, yes, that may be true, in terms of being intolerant of the intolerant, but only because homophobes tell me things like I should be put into a gas chamber, or a concentration camp. And, yes, I have been told those things directly.

In fact, I take it back -- it's exactly the same.

It's a point of human nature that those you hate will tend to hate you back, or at the very least, dislike you. I know of very few people (even so-called "Christians") who can rise above this basic human instinct to dislike those who dislike you. Yes, the Christian tradition tells its adherents to "love their enemies", though apparently very few of their followers actually seem to observe it.

And here is the rub, and a big part of the reason I consider Bill O'Reilly and all those like him, at best juvenile. What I would ask him: Just what the hell do you expect?

I will confess, unless you fit into the two categories listed above as people I have to deal with, I don't want anything to do with you.

You are not welcome in my home. I will not offer to sit down with you over a cup of coffee. I do not wish to speak with you or hear anything you have to say.

That is not because I am a hateful person -- exactly the opposite. It is because I have, finally, had enough of your (or at least, your political movement's) hate.


We are back, and we're done taking crap from you. So the best thing for your movement to do would be to dump your Ann Coulters, your Rush Limbaughs, your Newt Gingrich's and your Bill O'Reillys, your Michael Savages, your Michelle Malkins, your Jonah Goldbergs .. see? the list is endless. If you think you are better than them, then dump them in the garbage where they belong. And stop demonizing "liberals" as an entire group.

And maybe, just maybe, you should avoid slurs such as "Democrat" when "Democratic" is the appropriate word.

We will do the same, but we need good faith from you first, since your movement, by and large, started the hatemongering as a political tool. Nothing less will do than good faith first from you, for me.

If you genuinely are bewildered at so-called "liberal hate" you have only to read Daily Kos for a while, and witness the daily body dump of right wing hatred and contempt for us, to realize why.

If you want a real dialog, a productive dialog, it is possible, but not under the conditions your movement has fostered, and the conditions it has maintained.

If you want to fix it, and have a dialog, the proper time for a dialog is when you have communicated with your movement's leaders, and reformed yourselves. Until then, I believe, you are simply pissing in the wind. Some, well, ok, many of us are done with you.
If you want to have a dialog with me, you cannot have it under conditions of either direct or proxy contempt.

And, I'm sorry, but that's not unreasonable, or in any way, even remotely, "hateful".

Goodbye, and good luck.

My first dream with MOT and with guns!

So, in this dream, you and I and my parents were driving along in my red car on the I-45 feeder road near Lone Star Ford, and there was a white SUV in front of us that was parked with one driver side door open, and a very well dressed black man standing there.

He glared at me - I hadn't pulled up very close, but there was no way to go around him and I was just waiting.

He pulled out a VERY large handgun and I put the car in reverse and hit the gas. He fired a single shot as I flew backwards, trying to avoid the traffic that was behind me.

Then, we were driving around, trying to avoid the minions he had sent out to find us. A white guy in a blue van pulled up alongside and before I saw his gun, I stamped on the brake, changed direction and hit the gas hard.

We finally pulled into what looked like a rural and nearly abandoned group of lake front cottages and I pulled all the way into the back. The people who occupied one of these ramshackle places came out to see why were were pulling in behind their house, and we all went inside. They were very welcoming.

After a while, my dad suggested that we should go back out and try to go home. We drove home without incident, but when I opened my door - an intuition that something dangerous was inside.

And then - I woke up.

Wednesday, July 18, 2007

Only able to act in a manner consistent with the training

Yesterday, I drove to work (because it's Tom day - Tom the massage guy.) So, I drove into town (19 miles - at least a gallon and a half of gas plus 1.75 in tolls,) and parked. The car didn't move ALL day until 5:30 when I got into it to drive to the UPS store and to Tom's place behind the 611.

Then, I drove home - it was 7:00, so I thought I'd take the Katy Fwy, since it was SEVEN O'CLOCK and all - it took a fucking hour to get home. Two accidents. And another probably three gallons of gas (all the sitting and idling.)

Today, I'll ride the bus. It picks up on the corner by the door, costs a dollar and drops me off a block up the street from the office. Takes 45 minutes. The car will sit in the garage all day. I will read one of many of my spiritual or self-growth books that are unread on the way in. At any 10 minute interval after 4:00 that I want to go home, I walk two blocks to the stop and in 55 minutes, I'm homo.

For another dollar. And I'll read ANOTHER of my unread list on the way home.

Yet, I'd rather have my car. Amazing how we're conditioned.

Guy is telling me that emotion and other matters are far more involved here than is logic. Well, news flash - I have to FORCE the logic choice. This is why the work with the pattern and other than conscious beliefs are so important - otherwise, your conscious brain doesn't stand a chance.

Many years ago (well, four or five) Jenny Hunter used to tell me to break habits on a lower level - put the other sock on first. Tear apart your morning routine and do it all differently. Clean the kitchen differently. Do your laundry on a different day.

Lord, that woman knew what she was talking about.

What and where can I interrupt the patterned behavior by consciously forcing a different choice, and how will that show up in providing me with other, lesser visible but still controlling behavior patterns that I could force/choose to have be different?

The search re-continues.

Sunday, July 15, 2007

Sunday - is it raining or sunny?

Or both? How many videos can one watch in one weekend?

We're wondering when or if the Comcastic technician is going to show up. Ah, he has just called. So, I advise Bram and .. Bram ensures that we get internetic. Or not.

There was a neighbor's non-secure wireless network that has been available from time to time - with about a single signal bar. Fun stuff. Hopefully, I'll be frustrating the neighborhood soon with big bad signal, totally locked down.

Just was amused a minute ago, responding to a potential client on guru.com. He's been pestering me since February. He wants 25 articles, 750 words in length, on various gay oriented subjects he has defined. He wants to pay $125 for the articles in toto. $.00666 per word. Back in March, when I found out that it was a for-profit web based naughty lingerie website he wanted these articles for. I said no. He has asked over and over - most times as if he didn't remember that we had talked. This morning, there was another message from him asking me why I kept sending him back messages saying that I wasn't interested.

Uh - which part of this is unequivocal?

Today, I replied by quoting him $75 per article, or $.10 per word. Hopefully, that will shut him down.

Reading, reading, reading about the various shenanigans in Washington and elsewhere. I'm feeling increasingly that there's a probability that the conservatives, especially those with fundamentalist religious ties, will be swept out of office come 2008. People (not here in Houston, except for the 16 of us that are "liberals") are fully aware that the Republicans are lock step with the President, and they don't like anything that they're seeing. The tax cuts - not working. People are increasingly frightened and insecure financially. The war? Don't get me started. Health care? That issue belongs in the ER.

I think that people are going to reflect on the promises of those who have governed us since 1994 (and don't be handing me that Bill Clinton hooey. He was no more liberal than was Dwight Eisenhower) and realize that it was all bunk.

"Politics is just like driving - you put it in "R" for reverse and "D" for forward.

Saturday, July 14, 2007

My letter to Sirius Satellite Radio

From Daily Kos

The liberal channel is called "SIRIUS Left."

The conservative channel is called "SIRIUS Patriot."

SIRIUS Satellite Radio doesn't think you're patriotic. This is an obscenity.

SIRIUS's media relations representative for talk radio is Hillary Schupf. Her email is hschupf@siriusradio.com.


Hello Ms. Schupf -

I am an XM, not a Sirius subscriber. I've been an XM subscriber for about four years now, and have four radios on my account.

The choice of Sirius to define people who believe in any left of center politics and sociology as NOT patriotic is deeply disturbing and inconsistent with the founding principles of this country.

XM and Sirius are scheduled to merge.

If this remains the policy of Sirius, which appears to be the likely dominant entity in the proposed merger of XM and your firm, I can assure you that I can live without satellite radio as I did for the 43 years before I became an XM subscriber.

In the meantime, I intend to inform everyone with whom I have contact that XM does not so label persons who view life in a way that is not right of center as anti-American and that Sirius does. Perhaps that single market distinction can provide XM with sufficient advantage to avoid the need for the proposed merger.

Saturday quiet time

It looks like rain, but not raining. I'm just lap topping away and watching a DVD. Nothing else to do here, really at this point.

So, it seems that the Minnie Phaeton is gone. It will re-appear, probably, but the Phaeton popularity is on the mend. However, today I stumbled upon ANOTHER Phaeton, that's just gorgeous. GORGEOUS, do you hear me? Overpriced, though. Bleh. Black with black.

Bram seems to have found employment here in town, and he's very pleased with those prospects. Hopefully the Comcast people can fix the internet connection tomorrow ... bleh.

Friday, July 13, 2007

Phaeton Phantasm

Yeah, I'm all up for a Phaeton again.

I was reading today - some guy was saying he wanted a Phaeton badly, a twelve cylinder as I want to have. He wanted to know whether they were reliable, and whether it was true that an oil change cost $300.

The explanation that followed made me want the car even more. The bit about the engine compartment being completely sealed from the bottom?

Brian is going to spew his coffee when he reads this, but I am not dissuaded, I want it MORE.

Here are a few pictures of the exact one I've had dreams about driving or being driven in...

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Blue leather interior! Rarer than hens teeth for the very few Phaeton W12s that were imported here. And, I think it's a custom blue color on the outside. Gorgeous.

Tuesday, July 10, 2007

Thursday that feels like Thursday

Last night was amusing. Erik, who I rarely talk to, hit me up on IM and was talking about Houston being nuked - had I ever heard of such a thing?

Why, yes, I have!

That led to a long conversation that brought Bram in, and everyone (but me) was freaking out for a while. I was nonchalant, as I already spent my nights awake worrying about that issue. Anyway, it was a hoot all around. This morning, I could barely drag myself out of bed and get to it. I finally did, and mid-posting the garage refrigerator on Craigslist, the cable modem went out. Knowing Bram couldn't survive without internet access, I fiddled with that for about an hour, and made myself very late to the office. Bleh.

That refrigerator is generating a lot of attention, and I only thought about dealing with selling it after talking to Guy about that when his grandparents disconnected their big freezer, their electric bill plummeted. I asked Bram last night whether we really needed that fridge, and the answer was clearly no.

I just fired another client who was telling me "another loan officer told me the rate would be 6.85%" Adios.

Monday, July 09, 2007

Monday, Monday ver. 911.01

So, it's an interesting day. I started working with a pipeline sheet, which I've never done - I've always tried to keep it in my head. It both motivates and rewards, as it shows what is actually true, and what needs to happen to keep things going. I've asked Tom to help me with that, making it more custom for my needs.

A few weeks ago, I sent an old friend a snail mail piece, nearly twelve years since we were last in touch. He wrote me back by email, and we've been having a lot of fun getting the communication re-established. It's so cool to learn about how someone else saw something and thought of something, and compare it to how it was for yourself.

Went to lunch today, had a great bowl of French Onion soup and picked up nearly $1.1 Million in new loans. Whoopie!

Tonight, Jackie goes into the tub for a soak and a bath. She'll not be happy going in, and will be VERY happy coming out.

And, we have lunch with an appraiser tomorrow .. oof. He's handsome. Okay, more workie must be done here.

Sunday, July 08, 2007

Just a couple of late Sunday things...

First, two reviews of Michael Moore's "Sicko." A couple of quotes from the reviews to entice you to click the link and read:


There is one story in the film of a woman whose husband was denied a bone marrow transplant allegedly because it was an "experimental procedure," --- is one a thousand excuses health insurance companies use to keep from having to provide care for those whose premiums they eagerly cashed in the years before their customer got sick. But I think what got me about that particular story was the fact that this woman worked in the hospital where the board of directors of this managed care company also worked. She spoke to them personally. She wasn't just a piece of paper in an in-box. It was a real live person, a colleague and neighbor, literally begging for her husbands life ... and they said no. For profit. It makes me want to howl in pain and outrage.

(Apparently, the film is making the insurers howl too. Check out this post from Michael Moore today in which he posts an internal Blue cross memo. The rep they sent to see the movie and report back wrote: "You'd have to be dead to be unaffected by Moore's movie.")


Moore's movie is actually quite successful in showing that people in other first world countries with universal care live very well despite the fact that they pay higher taxes for medical care (and other things) because --- they don't have to pay for medical care and those other things. The people who live middle and upper middle class lives as professionals don't lose anything --- and the society as a whole gains tremendously because those crippling worries are removed from all, the poor and middle class alike.


Is my sister reading this?

Next, an article about how the Iran-Contra affair (you don't remember that, because you intentionally forgot. The whole thing was hard to understand, no one was really driving it as a news story, and the Iran-Contra investigation committee neatly whitewashed the whole thing.)


Tell me we're not paying for that now. Tell me we're not paying for tolerating a renegade theory of Executive power. Tell me we're not hearing how inconvenient and cumbersome and counterproductive the impeachment process of the Constitution is. Tell me the Democratic candidates aren't soft-pedaling the whole issue, preferring to micromanage the end of the kind of war that the renegade theory of Executive power makes not only likely, but inevitable. (Go back and read the minority report of the Iran-Contra committee. Go see who wrote the part about how the president has an inherent right to do stuff like this. Hint -- he has a lesbian daughter, a bad heart, and lousy aim.) Tell me the press isn't running away from the gravity of the whole business. Tell me you haven't heard some anchor-drone or another sigh about how hard it all is to understand. Tell me that Bush presidencies don't invariably come down to buying the silence of the people who can put you away. Tell me Alberto Gonzales isn't Edwin Meese, except less competent. Tell me that Elliott Abrams, John Negroponte, Michael Ledeen, and the rest of the Iran-Contra Legends Tour ever would have found their bloody hands back on the levers of government if we'd done what we should have done as a nation 20 years ago. Jesus, even Ghorbanifar's back in the news.

It's official - the NYT says 'Get out of Iraq now"

You should read it.

Later today, at 3:30 Pacific/5:30 Central, you can watch the roll out ceremonies for Boeing's new 787 Dreamliner - webcast at http://www.newairplane.com. As part of the ceremonies, they're going to have a sequential landing of each of the Boeing "7" aircraft, starting with the 707, through the end - presumably the 777, since the 787 hasn't flown yet.

Friday, July 06, 2007

Washington on Tolerance

Okay, all of you fright wingers out there - you "strict constructionists" who would have us honor and obey the intentions of the "Founding Fathers" (even though we know that's a load of crap - you're just as willing to ditch the Founding Fathers when it serves your bigoted, self-serving interests.) Here's what the Father of Our Country would have said about the current immigration buzz:

The Citizens of the United States of America have a right to applaud themselves for giving to Mankind examples of an enlarged and liberal policy: a policy worthy of imitation. All possess alike liberty of conscience and immunities of citizenship. It is now no more that toleration is spoken of, as if it was by the indulgence of one class of people that another enjoyed the exercise of their inherent natural rights. For happily the Government of the United States, which gives to bigotry no sanction, to persecution no assistance, requires only that they who live under its protection should demean themselves as good citizens, in giving it on all occasions their effectual support…

May the Children of the Stock of Abraham, who dwell in this land, continue to merit and enjoy the good will of the other Inhabitants; while every one shall sit in safety under his own vine and figtree, and there shall be none to make him afraid. May the father of all mercies scatter light and not darkness in our paths, and make us all in our several vocations useful here, and in his own due time and way everlastingly happy.

–George Washington, Letter to the Hebrew Congregation in Newport, Rhode Island, Aug. 18, 1790 in: The Writings of George Washington, p. 766-67.

Thanks to the "Harper's Index" online for this quote today. Harper's seems to trust that anyone reading this piece should be able to understand the nuance. However, I don't believe that people can get a refined and elegant point such as this without having it slammed into their cranium, so I gave you a little more detail.

Thursday, July 05, 2007

Because of course...



Nationalized health care will benefit the terrorists.

Not that the HMOs and big Pharma are terrorizing far more people far more effectively already...

Thursday that feels like Monday

Yesterday, I started the post "Thursday that feels like Monday," and I got nothing but the title entered. So, although this looks like Thursday, it's actually Friday that feels like Tuesday.

Well, here I am OTB, running into work. While sometimes it seems to be the right thing to do to sleep in, this morning, getting up before 0600 and being on the 730 bus was definitely the right thing. I just can't seem to get comfortable though.

It looks like there's sunshine today! Who would have thought?

So much business came in yesterday, it was like a blizzard all day. That was pretty cool, but now I'm feeling like I need to create some organizational structure to keep it all organized and make sure that I don't drop something out. Yikes. I need for Tom to come in tomorrow and help me (or Chuck, hmm) clean off the old desktop and transfer files to the laptop. First one who responds...

And, I need to get some more filing work done on my desk. That's going to have to happen this morning.

I was thinking as I looked out over our water soaked landscape through my bedroom windows today - you know, all of this rain has kept the temperatures in Houston down below 90 for most of June and so far in July; is that such a bad thing? My power bill will be loving this.

The New York Times today has an article about flight delays and how full the airlines are. The next time you hear a talking head blather on about how there's so much overcapacity in the US airline system, answer me this: if the network carrier (United, American, Continental) load factors are all above 85% (as they are, meaning of all of the seats they operated in the previous month, 85% of them were full) how many 150 seat airplanes have to go out with 150 passengers to bring the average up to 85% of the total number of seats sold?

Answer: Most of them.

Had a dream last night about all of this business - in the dream, I just got adjusted to all of this activity that was demonstrating yesterday, and a truckload of NEW business came in. Then, I was being driven around in the back seat of a black Phaeton 4-seat, yapping on the phone. With my sister. Asking her "what is the reason for your call? How my business is doing is no business of yours."

I think I need to engage in some active forgiveness work with her.

Jackie this morning would NOT go out, wouldn't pee or go into the grass when I hooked her up on the leash anyway and dragged her out. After I ate, had two cups of coffee, showered, dressed, and came downstairs to see about catching the 7:30 bus, THEN she was all bouncy and "let's go pee, Daddy!" Well, okay. She's such a sweet soul. She needs a bath, and I have scheduled myself for work all day tomorrow. Sunday, we have our board meeting after church, so I'll be home very late then as well.

She just needs to go back to the groomer. Bleh.

The other day, I got into the car and noticed that the fuel consumption seemed to have jumped up strongly. Then, as I was driving, I was thinking "whoa! When did the engine get so powerful?"

Seems that the can of fuel system cleaner that they dumped into the car a few weeks ago has finally taken hold. Or something.

I noticed last evening OTB coming home that the drivers have adopted a pattern of moving along just around 20 miles per hour. This greatly reduces the amount of time that they're on the brake, and that they have to stop for lights. The driver this morning is going the same way. We're right now about halfway through with the total route, and we only have about ten people on the bus. After 8:00, this bus would be packed to the gills.

More reading about high speed rail yesterday. Wired's article, which I think I cross posted - if not, I'm a-gonna, was discussing the same old thing that everyone is talking about - how the energy savings alone provide enough incentive for government to create the tax breaks and eminent domain to create dedicated high speed rail routes between cities up to 500 miles apart.

Considering that the Feds won't upgrade the air traffic control system, and that the airlines are already at capacity, wouldn't it make sense to append onto the existing Interstate system and add high speed rail?

If that was done, what would it do for traffic flow on the interstate system? Of course, some businesses would suffer - when you make an adjustment somewhere, it shows up somewhere else - the airlines would have some diminished traffic, the gas stations and fast food restaurants along the interstates would have less business.

But, if it reduces the infrastructure spending on freeways, reduces pollution and fuel burn, adds productivity through recaptured time spent on travel, wouldn't those things be good? Socially and generally speaking?

This bus' brakes are grinding like mad. Yikes.

Okay, time to publish this one and see where the internet takes us next.

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How would that look, traveling to Dallas at 350 miles per hour?